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Riek Machar’s Arrest Sparks Conflict Fears

South Sudan’s First Vice President, Riek Machar was arrested Wednesday in a dramatic escalation of tensions with President Salva Kiir as the United Nations warned the country teeters on the brink of widespread violence. A convoy of 20 heavily armed vehicles stormed Machar’s residence in Juba resulting in the disarmament of his bodyguards and an ambiguous arrest warrant.

The UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) condemned the actions of the Minister of Defense and the Chief of National Security, stating, “The country’s leaders stand on the brink of relapsing into widespread conflict.” UNMISS head, Nicholas Haysom emphasized that potential breaches of the 2018 peace agreement would devastate South Sudan and extend insecurity throughout the region.

The fragile power-sharing deal between Kiir and Machar has been faltering raising fears of a return to the civil war that resulted in approximately 400,000 deaths from 2013 to 2018. Analysts suggest that the 73-year-old Kiir has sought to sideline Machar through cabinet reshuffles and since February over 20 of Machar’s allies within the unity government and army have been detained.

Violent clashes have erupted, particularly in Upper Nile State, where government forces reportedly attacked military training centers established for integrating opposition forces into the unified army—a key component of the peace deal. Machar’s military wing condemned these actions as “terrorism” and called for international intervention.

The escalating violence and political instability have instilled fear among residents. Lilian Sukeji, a Juba resident, expressed her concerns, stating, “I feel like we are going back to war while we still need peace. Our leaders need to embrace dialogue rather than guns.”

Despite Kiir’s claims of commitment to peace following a meeting with church leaders, recent clashes indicate a worsening situation. International observers, including Norway and Germany have closed their embassies in Juba. The British and US embassies announced reduced staffing and urged citizens to evacuate signaling the mounting concern over the potential for a broader conflict in South Sudan.

Tshisekedi offers minerals for peace in DRC

President Felix Tshisekedi in his first interview since the Rwandan-backed M23 armed group seized large portions of territory in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) earlier this year, extended an invitation to the United States and Europe to invest in the country’s vast mineral wealth. This sector which is currently dominated by China is rich in resources critical for global technology and energy including cobalt and coltan.

Congo, viewed as one of the richest countries in terms of natural resources accounts for a significant share of the world’s coltan, essential for smartphones and computers and possesses over half of the world’s cobalt reserves, crucial for electric vehicles. President Tshisekedi sees the potential for major investments to bolster his country’s security and stability amidst ongoing conflict which he likened to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The president criticized existing European negotiations with Rwanda, describing a £935 million agreement that grants access to minerals like tin, tungsten, and gold as “an absolute scandal,” asserting that those minerals are being “plundered” from Congo. The European Union, however, contends that this arrangement will foster better regulation of conflict materials. Recently, the European Parliament called for the suspension of the deal until Rwanda ends its interference in Congo.

The M23 armed group, comprised of approximately 8,000 fighters allegedly backed by Rwanda has killed thousands and captured strategic locations including major cities Goma and Bukavu since launching its offensive earlier this year. In response to the escalating violence, the U.S. imposed sanctions on an M23 spokesman and a Rwandan minister.

From Kinshasa, Tshisekedi expressed frustration about the stalled peace talks, stating he refuses to negotiate directly with M23, which he views as a proxy for the Rwandan military. “M23 is an empty shell,” he said emphasizing that dialogues should be held directly with Rwanda. Rwandan President Paul Kagame has denied any connection to M23 and labeled Tshisekedi’s accusations as a “tired story.”

The situation remains delicate, with the U.S. warning of the risk of a broader regional war, especially following M23’s recent military advances toward Butembo and ambitions reportedly aimed at Kinshasa. Tshisekedi has vowed to reclaim Goma “either through dialogue or military reconquest.”

In light of the crisis, Tshisekedi highlighted that the Trump administration had expressed interest in securing a direct supply of strategic minerals from Congo. He also mentioned potential investments in significant projects, such as a megadam that could become the world’s largest hydroelectric plant, indicating a keenness for international partnerships to bolster his nation amid the ongoing conflict.

Wafula Chebukati, former IEBC Chairman is dead

Wafula Wanyonyi Chebukati, the former chairman of Kenya’s Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), has died at the age of 63 after a long battle with a critical illness. He was declared clinically dead at a local hospital leaving his family to grapple with the heartbreaking decision of whether to discontinue life-support measures.

Chebukati’s career was marked by his commitment to electoral integrity and resilience particularly during tumultuous times. Appointed by former President Uhuru Kenyatta in 2017, he oversaw two landmark elections; those of 2017 and 2022 that significantly influenced Kenya’s political landscape. Remarkably, Chebukati became the first IEBC chair to complete a full six-year term retiring in January 2023 amidst challenges that included internal divisions and intense external scrutiny.

In a statement expressing his condolences, President William Ruto described Chebukati as a “principled and diligent leader who served the nation with integrity,” adding, “His death is a great loss to our country. Our thoughts and prayers are with his family and friends during this difficult time.”

Born in 1961 in Bungoma County, Chebukati held a law degree from the University of Nairobi and earned a Master of Business Administration from Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology. He practiced law for over three decades, founding Wanyonyi & Company Advocates in 1986 before co-founding Cootow & Associates Advocates in 2006. He stepped away from private practice upon his appointment as IEBC chairman.

Chebukati’s tenure was not without its controversies. He presided over the 2017 presidential election, which was annulled by the Supreme Court, prompting a repeat election. His announcement of William Ruto as the President-elect in 2022 led to dissent within the commission with four commissioners vocally opposing his declaration. Amidst these challenges, he was recognized for his public service with the Elder of the Order of the Golden Heart (EGH), one of Kenya’s highest civilian honors.

In addition to his professional accomplishments, Chebukati was a passionate golfer and held leadership positions at Mombasa and Nyali Golf Clubs as well as serving on the committee of the Kenya Golf Union.

Chebukati’s death is expected to prompt reflections on his legacy in Kenya’s electoral history as the nation considers the progress and obstacles facing its democratic processes. His family, colleagues and the broader community mourn the loss of a leader who tirelessly aimed to uphold the integrity of Kenya’s electoral system.

Lifeless bodies fill streets in Goma

Nearly 3,000 people have been killed in the eastern city of Goma after a violent takeover by rebel forces, revealed the United Nations. The city has been engulfed in fierce fighting between the Congolese army and the Alliance Fleuve Congo (AFC), a rebel coalition that includes the M23 armed group.

Vivian van de Perre, the deputy head of the UN mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo reported that “so far, 2,000 bodies have been collected from the streets of Goma with an additional 900 remaining in local hospitals’ mortuaries.” She emphasized the need for urgent action noting, “There are still many decomposing bodies in certain areas,” and warned that the death toll may continue to rise.

In the wake of the humanitarian crisis, the AFC announced a ceasefire on seeking to address the conflict’s toll on civilians, which they attributed to the Congolese government—referred to by the rebels as the “Kinshasa regime.” However, the government dismissed this ceasefire declaration as a “false communication,” and reports of intense fighting persist particularly in the neighboring South Kivu province.

The Democratic Republic of Congo, home to more than 100 million people has been plagued by violence for decades rooted in ethnic tensions and battles over valuable land and mineral resources. This turmoil has contributed to one of the world’s largest humanitarian crises.

Both Congo and the United States have accused Rwanda of providing support to the M23, which primarily consists of ethnic Tutsis who have been at odds with the Congolese government for over a decade. Rwanda’s government denies these allegations but admits to deploying troops and missile systems in eastern Congo citing national security concerns. President Paul Kagame told journalists on Monday that he was uncertain about the presence of Rwandan forces in Congo but maintained that his country would do what is necessary to protect itself.

Since its revival in 2022, the M23 has reinvigorated its rebellion against the Congolese government seizing significant territory in North Kivu which borders both Rwanda and Uganda. The region is rich in rare minerals like coltan, essential for manufacturing electronics such as smartphones and computers.

As the conflict continues, the international community watches closely, hoping for a resolution that can bring stability and peace to the war-torn region.

Senior ISIL Commander Captured in Somalia

A senior commander of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) in Somalia has been captured by security forces according to police and state media reports. Abdirahman Shirwac Aw-Saciid, who oversaw the group’s assassination squad surrendered on Monday in the Cal Miskaad mountains of northeastern Puntland as the region intensifies its offensive against ISIL.

The capture of Aw-Saciid, also known by his alias “Laahoor,” comes just two days after U.S. air strikes targeted ISIL leadership in Somalia. His role included not only orchestrating attacks but also extorting local businesses to fund the group’s operations.

In recent years, Somalia’s ISIL branch has gained prominence as a significant part of the group’s global network bolstered by an influx of foreign fighters and enhanced revenue collection. Security analysts have noted a shift in tactics as demonstrated by an attack on a military base in December where ISIL utilized two booby-trapped vehicles.

Abdikadir Jama Dirir, the head of police in Puntland’s Bari region confirmed the arrest emphasizing the focus on disrupting ISIL and its rival, al-Qaeda-linked al-Shabab.

Recent U.S. air strikes have reportedly resulted in significant casualties among ISIL fighters, further degrading their capacity to plan and execute attacks. U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth stated that the military actions are part of ongoing efforts to contain both ISIL and al-Shabab which holds substantial territory in southern Somalia.

U.S. President Donald Trump praised the air strikes claiming they have eradicated threats posed by ISIL and affirming that no civilians were harmed in the operations. Until recently, ISIL’s influence in Somalia was viewed as relatively minor compared to that of al-Shabab which has dominated security challenges in the region.

Somali authorities continue to grapple with restoring order and security in a nation plagued by more than three decades of civil conflict. The capture of Aw-Saciid represents a crucial step in the ongoing battle against terrorism in Somalia.

Tensions Escalate as Kagame Downplays Rwandan Involvement in DRC Conflict

Rwandan President, Paul Kagame has expressed uncertainty about the presence of Rwandan troops in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) amidst a spiraling conflict involving the M23 armed group. As fighting escalates, more than 900 fatalities have been reported in Goma fueled by the violent clashes between M23 and Congolese forces.

Kagame, a commander-in-chief of the Rwandan Defence Forces, stated, “I don’t know” when asked about Rwandan troop involvement and further emphasized, “There are many things I don’t know.” However, he acknowledged that the situation in Congo poses concerns for Rwanda, asserting, “If you want to ask me, is there a problem in Congo that concerns Rwanda?… I’d say 100%.”

This statement comes amid accusations from the international community suggesting that Rwanda is providing support to the M23 rebels who claim to have captured Goma just last week. According to UN assessments, as many as 4,000 Rwandan soldiers may be assisting the M23, significantly outnumbering the rebel group itself.

M23 spokesperson Victor Tesongo refuted claims of Rwandan support labeling such assertions as a “manipulation of public opinion” and claiming that Rwanda is focused on combating the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR) which he alleges poses a security threat to Rwanda by teaming up with the Congolese government.

DRC Communications Minister, Patrick Muyaya countered Kagame’s denial citing numerous confirmations of Rwanda’s military presence by UN officials and regional leaders. “Kagame is the only voice denying this,” he remarked, reflecting the widespread consensus on the matter.

When confronted with comparisons to Russian President Vladimir Putin who has been accused of backing separatist forces in Ukraine, Kagame stated, “There will be so many stories,” and added, “I may be called anything – what can I do about it?” He reiterated Rwanda’s commitment to protect itself from external threats, stating, “Nobody… is going to do it for us.”

The conflict has resulted in significant violence with reports indicating at least 16 casualties in Rwanda due to shelling from the ongoing fighting in Goma. DRC President Félix Tshisekedi has vowed a “vigorous and coordinated response” against the M23 describing the group as Rwanda’s “puppet” in the conflict.

As the M23 vows to expand its control beyond Goma and into other territories including the South Kivu province and even Kinshasa, tensions remain high in a region already fraught with instability. The potential repercussions of this continuing conflict threaten to further destabilize both nations and the surrounding areas.

M23 rebels take control of Goma City, the Capital of North Kivu province in DR-Congo

The M23 rebel group announced early on Monday January 27 that it had captured the city of Goma, the largest in eastern Congo leading to widespread panic among its 2 million residents and prompted a swift condemnation from the Congolese government which labeled the advance as a “declaration of war.”

The rebels issued a statement urging Goma’s residents to remain calm while calling on Congolese military personnel to assemble at the central stadium. The rebel offensive is the latest escalation in one of Africa’s longest-running conflicts, which threatens to displace even more civilians in a region already plagued by instability.

According to a United Nations report, over one-third of North Kivu province’s population is currently displaced and the capture of Goma is likely to exacerbate this humanitarian crisis. As the situation unfolded, UN peacekeepers began processing members of the Congolese military who had surrendered on the city’s outskirts.

Congolese government spokesman, Patrick Muyaya released a video statement calling for civilian protection while acknowledging the precarious situation. He stated, “We are in a war situation where the news is changing.”

During an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council, the special representative for Congo conveyed that with Goma’s airport shut down and roads blocked, “we are trapped.” The UN’s presence in the region has been severely tested with significant casualties among peacekeepers in recent days.

Tensions escalated over the weekend as Congo severed diplomatic relations with Rwanda which it accuses of backing the M23 rebels. Rwanda, however, denies these claims although international experts have corroborated evidence of support. The on-going violence has already led to the deaths of at least 13 peacekeepers prompting urgent calls for a ceasefire from the international community including the United States and France.

In the backdrop, hundreds of Goma residents are fleeing as heavy gunfire echoes across the city. Many are seeking refuge in camps or attempting to cross into Rwanda for safety. Displaced individuals from the Kanyaruchinya camp reported chaotic scenes as they fled from perceived threats of violence.

“I heard that there are bombs in Goma too, so now we don’t know where to go,” lamented Adèle Shimiye, a displaced person anxious about their safety.

The situation remains fluid with fears that if the M23 rebels advance further into Goma, the humanitarian impact on civilians could be catastrophic. U.N. deputy humanitarian chief Joyce Msuya warned that hostilities spilling into the densely populated urban center could lead to devastating consequences for vulnerable populations.

As the Congolese army continues to resist the M23 offensive with support from allied forces including U.N. peacekeepers, the conflict raises grim reminders of previous confrontations, particularly Goma’s turbulent history including the M23’s prior capture in 2012. With tensions at a breaking point, residents like Bahati Jackson choose to remain, saying, “If we’re going to die, it’s better to die here.”

Sebutinde’s Landmark Ruling Sparks Diplomatic Repercussions Amid ICJ Leadership Changes

Julia Sebutinde, the first African woman to serve on the International Court of Justice (ICJ), recently made headlines with her ruling on the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. The decision, which dismissed South Africa’s requests for temporary injunctions to halt the hostilities in Gaza has ignited a wave of diplomatic responses particularly from her home country of Uganda.

Born in February 1954 in Uganda, Sebutinde’s impressive career has been anchored in international justice. Following her appointment to Uganda’s Supreme Court in 1996, she garnered attention for leading pivotal anti-corruption investigations. Her international presence soared in 2005 when she joined the Special Court for Sierra Leone contributing to the groundbreaking trial of former Liberian President Charles Taylor.

In February 2012, Sebutinde broke new ground by becoming the first woman from Africa appointed to the ICJ, a role that she has since continued to redefine through her influential rulings. However, her most recent decision concerning the Israel-Hamas war has raised eyebrows, particularly as she characterized the conflict as fundamentally political asserting that it falls outside the realm of the court’s legal jurisdiction.

This ruling prompted Uganda’s UN Ambassador Adonia Ayebare to publicly clarify that Sebutinde’s position does not align with Uganda’s official stance on the conflict, illustrating the complexities of international law at a time of diplomatic tensions.

The ICJ is currently navigating a leadership transition, which comes at a critical juncture. The court is set to hear Israel’s defense against South Africa’s case in July and with the president of the ICJ playing a decisive role in such proceedings, this leadership change bears significant implications for international justice and Middle East diplomacy.

Salam, who was recently elected as ICJ president alongside Sebutinde in February 2024 has also faced adjustment as the Lebanese parliament accepted newly elected President Joseph Aoun’s request for government formation, necessitating his exit. As Salam steps down, the UN will look to appoint a new judge to represent the Asia region, further influencing the dynamics within the court.

As Sebutinde assumes this pivotal position of leadership, she stands at the intersection of vital issues in both international law and global diplomacy making her upcoming decisions crucial not just for the ICJ, but for the broader framework of international relations and justice.

DRC to execute more than 170 people convicted of armed robbery

The recent transfer of over 170 death row inmates from Kinshasa to a high-security prison in Angenga has sparked mixed reactions in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). The announcement made by Justice Minister Constant Mutamba, highlighted that the convicts primarily aged between 18 and 35 have been found guilty of armed robbery and are identified locally as “Kulunas” or “urban bandits.” This operation has raised significant concerns regarding human rights and the judicial process.

While some locals, like Goma resident Fiston Kakule, have expressed support for the government’s decision viewing it as a necessary step to curb urban crime and restore public safety. Human rights activist Espoir Muhinuka emphasized the risks of extrajudicial actions and insisted on the importance of adhering to judicial practices to prevent wrongful convictions and executions. He pointed out that underlying issues such as poverty, unemployment and social exclusion should be addressed in tandem with tackling urban gang violence.

Historically, the DRC has had a complicated relationship with capital punishment. Although the death penalty was abolished in 1981, it was reinstated in 2006. The last known execution occurred in 2003 and since then while there have been significant legal changes and military-related death sentences announced none have reportedly been carried out.

The situation remains tense as the Congolese government navigates the balance between maintaining security and upholding human rights, reflecting broader societal challenges that contribute to crime.

Tunisia Presidential Candidate Zammel Sentenced to 12 Years Four Days to Polls

In Tunisia, Ayachi Zammel, a former lawmaker and leader of a liberal party faces a 12-year prison sentence ahead of the upcoming presidential elections on October 6. This ruling marks the third prison sentence Zammel has received in the past two weeks causing significant concern about the integrity of the electoral process.

Zammel’s recent legal troubles involve accusations related to voter endorsements. On September 18, he was sentenced to 20 months for allegedly falsifying signatures to support his candidacy. Following that, a Jendouba court handed him a six-month sentence for using a fraudulent certificate. Despite these legal challenges, Massoudi maintains that Zammel is still a candidate for the presidency.

His arrest on September 2 occurred just before Tunisia’s electoral authority confirmed Zammel’s place on the final list of candidates. The political landscape surrounding the election is fraught with tension as many anticipate that the process could be rigged to favor the incumbent president, Kais Saied, who is seeking a second term. Saied took office after the 2019 elections but has since consolidated power through significant political maneuvers including shutting down parliament and ruling by decree.

Concerns have been raised by opposition and civil society groups about the fairness of the electoral process especially since around 14 candidates were rejected leaving only Zammel and Zouhair Maghzaoui from the left-wing nationalist People’s Movement as challengers to Saied. The situation for Zammel is further complicated by the arrest of his party’s treasurer on similar charges indicating a troubling pattern of political repression in Tunisia in the lead-up to the elections.

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