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Tebboune Poised for Second Term in Algeria’s Presidential Election

Algerians are participating in a presidential election in which incumbent Abdelmadjid Tebboune is expected to secure a second term. Polling stations opened at 8:00 am local time on Saturday, with over 24 million registered voters. More than 800,000 expatriate Algerians, primarily in France, began voting on September 2.

Tebboune, 78, is facing two challengers: Abdelaali Hassani Cherif, 57, and Youcef Aouchiche, 41. Although 15 candidates sought to enter the race, only Hassani Cherif and Aouchiche gathered sufficient signatures to qualify. Neither poses a significant challenge to the military establishment, which has maintained considerable influence since the 1960s.

Campaign rallies for this election, rescheduled from December to an earlier date, have struggled to generate excitement, partly due to the summer heat. Political commentator Mohamed Hennad has suggested that the election’s outcome seems predetermined given the restrictive campaigning conditions.

A major challenge for Tebboune is boosting voter turnout, which was under 40% during his first election in 2019 and dropped to about 30% in the 2021 legislative elections. “The president is keen to have a significant turnout,” said Hasni Abidi, an analyst at the Geneva-based CERMAM study center.

These low turnout figures have coincided with the Hirak pro-democracy protests that led to the ousting of Tebboune’s predecessor, Abdelaziz Bouteflika, which were subsequently suppressed through intensified policing and mass arrests.

With over half of Algeria’s 45 million population being young, all candidates are trying to engage this demographic by promising to improve living standards and reduce reliance on hydrocarbons. Tebboune has highlighted his economic achievements during his first term, citing job creation and wage increases in Africa’s largest natural gas exporter.

If re-elected, Tebboune is expected to continue focusing on enhancing energy exports while implementing limited pro-business reforms and maintaining generous subsidies, all while exercising tight control over dissent.

His challengers have pledged to promote greater freedoms. Aouchiche has committed to releasing political prisoners through an amnesty and revising restrictive laws related to media and terrorism, while Hassani Cherif advocates for the restoration of civil liberties curtailed in recent years.

Preliminary results may be announced as early as Saturday night, with the electoral authority, expected to release official results by Sunday.

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