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Philippines Faces Political Crisis Amid Marcos-Duterte Rivalry

As the vibrant and contentious two-months election campaign concludes, the Philippines finds itself embroiled in a fierce political contest between its two most influential families—the Marcoses and the Dutertes. The ongoing mid-term elections have become a critical battleground revealing deep fractures within the country’s ruling dynasties and casting uncertainty over the future of President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte.

Despite a history of electoral dominance, the Marcos camp faced disappointing results in this year’s senatorial race. Out of 12 successful candidates only six are aligned with Marcos, with one—Camille Villarreceiving endorsements from both Marcos and Duterte. Notably, four senators backing Duterte including President Marcos’s sister Imee Marcos secured top positions surpassing several Marcos-backed candidates. This outcome suggests a weakened grip on legislative power for the president and raises doubts about his ability to push through key agenda items in the final three years of his term.

Relations between President Marcos and Vice President Sara Duterte have sharply deteriorated over the past year. Their alliance which helped Marcos clinch victory in 2022 has fractured amid accusations and personal insults. Marcos has accused Duterte of threatening his life, while Duterte has publicly expressed her disdain, claiming she dreamed of decapitating him. The situation worsened earlier this year with the impeachment proceedings initiated against Duterte by Marcos allies and Marcos’s decision to send Duterte’s father, former President Rodrigo Duterte to face charges at the International Criminal Court over his war on drugs—a move seen by the Duterte camp as a personal betrayal.

The impeachment effort against Duterte hinges on securing a two-thirds majority in the 24-seat Senate making the mid-term elections a pivotal moment. However, many senators drawn from influential political families and showbiz backgrounds are known to prioritize their own ambitions and public opinion. Expert Cleve Arguelles notes that senators often side with the populace to safeguard their political futures, complicating efforts to remove Duterte.

Public sentiment has been unfavorable towards Marcos recently, with his economic management and leadership style drawing criticism. Campaign speeches by Duterte, featuring emotional appeals about her father’s treatment and her own political aspirations, have resonated with voters, especially in Davao, her stronghold. Meanwhile, Marcos faces challenges in maintaining his authority amid declining popularity and internal dissent.

The upcoming impeachment trial slated to begin in July promises to be a turbulent chapter in Philippine politics. Both Marcos and Duterte’s allies are engaged in behind-the-scenes lobbying to sway senators but a successful impeachment remains historically unprecedented in the country.

Amid the chaos, some surprising electoral wins such as those of liberal candidates Bam Aquino and Francis Pangilinan indicate a possible shift in public mood favoring politicians outside the Marcos-Duterte feud. Their victories suggest that a segment of the electorate desires a different direction potentially influencing the impeachment proceedings.

As the country braces for a year of political upheaval, analysts warn that the Philippines has never experienced such a deep and personal rift between its top leaders making this one of the most turbulent periods in recent history. The coming months will reveal whether the Marcos-Duterte rivalry will reshape the nation’s political landscape or lead to further instability.

Volcano Erupts,numbers Evacuated

A volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in southwestern Iceland has prompted evacuation to the nearby town of Grindavík and the renowned Blue Lagoon spa, a popular tourist destination. The Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO) reported that the eruption began at approximately 09:45 local time just north of Grindavík. In less than an hour, a fissure measuring 700 meters (2,296 feet) in width had opened and continued to expand.

The eruption follows a series of earthquakes that struck the Sundhnúk crater range earlier in the morning, around 06:30 local time. Authorities had preemptively ordered the evacuation of Grindavík and the Blue Lagoon before the eruption occurred. Roads leading to and from the town are closed, though flights in the region remain unaffected.

By 11:20 local time, the IMO reported that the initial fissure had extended southward with a new crack opening as well. Officials are urging any remaining residents in Grindavík to evacuate immediately as some individuals have reportedly declined to heed the evacuation order.

According to Grindavík’s police chief, Úlfar Lúðvíksson, only about 40 homes were occupied as the majority of the town’s 4,000 residents were permanently evacuated in November 2023 due to heightened volcanic activity. This ongoing situation is part of a series of eruptions that have affected the region since 2021.

The volume of magma forming beneath the crater series has reached approximately 11 kilometers (6.8 miles)—the longest recorded since November 11, 2023, according to the IMO. With current wind patterns, gas emissions from the eruption are expected to drift northeast towards the capital area.

Iceland, known for its unique geological features, has 33 active volcanic systems and is situated over the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, the boundary between two major tectonic plates. The Reykjanes Peninsula has not experienced volcanic activity of this nature in over 800 years, with previous eruptions persisting for decades.

As the situation develops, officials continue to monitor the eruption closely, emphasizing the importance of following evacuation orders for the safety of residents and visitors in the area.

Pope Francis Discharged, Makes First Public Appearance

Pope Francis made a triumphant return to the public eye on Sunday March 23 emerging from Gemelli Hospital in Rome more than five weeks after being hospitalized for bilateral pneumonia. The 88-year-old pontiff’s appearance marked a moment of relief and joy for the catholic faithful and his supporters.

Prior to his appearance, hospital officials confirmed that plans were in place for the pope to greet the public from a window. As he appeared, seated in a wheelchair, Francis waved to the gathered crowd and spoke in a faint voice, saying, “To all… and I see a woman with yellow flowers… She is ‘brava,’ good.” He then made a sign of the cross before waving to the crowd once more.

The crowd responded with enthusiastic cheers of “Francesco! Francesco!” as the pontiff was wheeled away, a testament to the affection felt for him among his followers.

Throughout the morning, the area outside the hospital had been filled with well-wishers while many others gathered in St. Peter’s Square at the Vatican to watch the pope’s greeting on large television screens. According to the Vatican, Pope Francis has been in stable condition for the past two weeks.

Following his brief public appearance, the pope’s motorcade, consisting of at least seven vehicles, departed from the hospital. He was seen in the front seat of a white Fiat 500, driving back to the Vatican where he will continue his recovery.

This public appearance has lifted spirits among the faithful and signifies a hopeful step towards the pope’s continued engagement with the global community.

Friedrich Merz’s Conservatives Win German Election Amid Political Fracture

Friedrich Merz’s conservatives have emerged victorious in Germany’s election outpacing rival parties but falling short of the expected 30% vote share. Addressing cheering supporters, Merz called for celebration but emphasized the urgency of forming a government prioritizing negotiations with the third-placed Social Democrats led by Olaf Scholz.

Before results were finalized, Merz stated his focus would be on European unity to achieve greater independence from the US. The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) also celebrated a record second-place result, garnering 20.8% of the vote. However, even with this achievement, the mood at their headquarters was muted as they had hoped for more.

Merz who has never held a ministerial position, pledged to provide strong leadership in Europe and bolster support for Ukraine criticizing US President Donald Trump’s indifference towards European issues. Following the election, Merz intends to form a coalition with Scholz’s Social Democrats despite their record low support of 16.4%. Both parties, however, collectively hold a majority in the 630-seat parliament.

The election saw an impressive 83% voter turnout, the highest since before German reunification in 1990. The rise of the AfD capitalizing on public discontent over rising prices and security concerns signals a shift in the political landscape. Merz dismissed the AfD’s rise as a symptom of unresolved issues and expressed determination to address these problems.

Trump welcomed Merz’s victory claiming it reflected a common desire for change among Germans and Americans. European leaders including France’s Emmanuel Macron and the UK’s Sir Keir Starmer swiftly congratulated Merz highlighting the need for unity in facing global challenges.

Younger voters, however, showed increased interest in alternative parties, particularly the AfD and the Left, the latter of which recently surged in popularity thanks to viral TikTok campaigns. As the political landscape evolves, Merz faces the challenge of navigating a fractured electorate while trying to establish a stable coalition government.

Iranian President rejects allegations on plot to assassinate US president elect-Trump

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has firmly rejected allegations that Iran plotted to assassinate U.S. President-elect Donald Trump following claims of two attempted attacks on his life in 2024. Pezeshkian emphasized that such a notion was unfounded and would never be a part of Iran’s intentions.

During the interview aired just days before Trump’s inauguration, Pezeshkian stated, “We have never attempted this (the assassination bid on Trump) to begin with and we never will.” His comments come in light of previous claims from the U.S. Department of Justice which charged an Iranian man linked to an alleged plot orchestrated by Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to assassinate Trump. Law enforcement officials indicated that the operation was thwarted prior to any action being taken.

Trump himself had suggested during his election campaign that Iran might be behind attempts on his life. He survived two assassination attempts during the campaign: one in September while golfing in West Palm Beach, Florida and another during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania in July. However, investigations have found no evidence linking Iran to either incident.

In addition to discussing the alleged plot, President Pezeshkian reiterated Iran’s stance on its nuclear program asserting that it is purely peaceful and not aimed at developing nuclear weapons. He warned Trump against the possibility of escalating tensions that could lead to war, saying, “I do hope that Trump will conduce to peace in the region and the world not conversely contribute to bloodshed or war.”

Pezeshkian’s remarks highlight the ongoing friction between the U.S. and Iran particularly after Trump’s first term, during which the U.S. withdrew from the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) aimed at curtailing Iran’s nuclear ambitions in exchange for sanctions relief. He expressed concern over the lack of commitment from the U.S. regarding the agreements indicating that the primary issue is not dialogue but adherence to commitments made during such discussions.

Furthermore, Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi reported that ongoing negotiations with European powers are progressing suggesting a seriousness regarding the resumption of discussions related to Iran’s nuclear program. Pezeshkian’s statements encapsulate a cautious optimism about potential future dialogue while simultaneously reinforcing Iran’s stance against foreign threats and accusations.

President Yoon Arrested Over Martial Law Insurrection Allegations

South Korea’s impeached President Yoon Suk-Yeol has been arrested in the early hours of Wednesday morning, January 15, 2024, as authorities accused him of insurrection stemming from his brief imposition of martial law; a decision that was swiftly overturned by the National Assembly. Yoon becomes the first sitting South Korean president to be arrested.

The Joint Investigation Headquarters announced the execution of the arrest warrant at 10:33 a.m. local time leading to a tense standoff at Yoon’s residence where investigators had to utilize ladders to access the property due to barricades stationed by the Presidential Security Service. Reports indicated that thousands of Yoon’s supporters gathered outside his home alongside lawmakers from the governing conservative People Power Party and his legal team who attempted to block the arrest.

Following his arrest, Yoon was taken to the Seoul Detention Centre in Uiwang for questioning. The deputy chief of Korea’s Corruption Investigation Office (CIO), Lee Jae-seung, led the interrogation. Yoon exercised his right to remain silent and denied permission for the session to be filmed. The CIO has prepared a comprehensive 200-page questionnaire for Yoon but did not disclose the reasons behind his refusal to speak.

In a prerecorded statement released after his arrest, Yoon expressed that he complied with the investigation to prevent “bloodshed,” despite challenging the legality of the inquiry. “I decided to respond to the Corruption Investigation Office to avert any unfortunate bloodshed,” he stated.

Investigators had made a prior attempt to arrest Yoon earlier in January which ended in a prolonged standoff. Since then, Yoon had remained in seclusion in his hillside villa in Seoul evading arrest and subsequently failing to attend his impeachment trial.

The impeachment proceedings were initiated following Yoon’s controversial martial law declaration on December 3, 2023, in response to perceived threats from North Korea. His decision had included deploying troops to parliament but lawmakers quickly countered his move leading to a retraction of the martial law declaration after just six hours. This incident has plunged South Korea into a significant political crisis contributing to Yoon’s plummeting popularity.

As news of Yoon’s arrest unfolded, the CIO has 48 hours to question him before needing to apply for a warrant for his detention which could allow for up to 20 days of holding him as investigations continue. Observers anticipate that Yoon may be compelled to attend his impeachment hearing now that he has been taken into custody.

The political landscape in South Korea remains tumultuous with ongoing ramifications from Yoon’s controversial decisions during his presidency which began in May 2022 after rising to prominence as the chief prosecutor in the corruption investigation against former president Park Geun-hye in 2017.

Former opposition leader in Cambodia shot dead in Bangkok, Thailand

Lim Kimya, a former member of Cambodia’s National Assembly and a prominent figure in the now-exiled opposition party, the Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP), was shot dead on Tuesday evening in Bangkok, Thailand. The 74-year-old was attacked shortly after arriving in the city on a bus from Siem Reap, traveling with his French wife and Cambodian uncle.

The CNRP expressed deep shock and sadness over the incident, labeling it a “brutal and inhumane shooting.” Lim, who held dual Cambodian and French citizenship had continued to live in Cambodia even as many opposition politicians fled the country due to increasing threats from the ruling Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) under former Prime Minister Hun Sen. In 2017, the CNRP was dissolved by the Cambodian Supreme Court, which led to a ban on its political activities.

In its statement, the CNRP condemned Lim Kimya’s killing as an “assassination” and described it as a serious threat to political freedom. The party called for Thai authorities to conduct a thorough and impartial investigation into the murder.

Thai authorities are actively searching for the gunman who reportedly escaped on a motorbike after the shooting. Human rights organizations have joined the call for a comprehensive investigation. Human Rights Watch’s Asia Director, Elaine Pearson, noted that this “cold-blooded killing” sends a chilling message to Cambodian political activists that safety is not guaranteed, even in exile.

Phil Robertson, director of the Asia Human Rights and Labour Advocates (AHRLA) stated that the murder exhibits “all the hallmarks of a political assassination.” He warned that this act of violence could severely intimidate the many Cambodian opposition figures, NGO activists and human rights defenders seeking refuge in Thailand from ongoing political repression in Cambodia, particularly under the leadership of Prime Minister Hun Manet, who succeeded his father in August 2023.

South Korean police call off attempt to arrest suspended president Yoon Suk Yeol

A dramatic six-hour standoff in South Korea has compelled police to call off an attempt to arrest suspended President Yoon Suk Yeol. The military and Yoon’s security officers formed a human barricade and used vehicles to block the arrest team’s access.

Yoon is under investigation for abusing his power and allegedly inciting an insurrection by attempting to impose martial law in early December. This led to a political crisis, resulting in his impeachment by an opposition-led parliament and suspension from office. A Seoul court issued an arrest warrant for him after he failed to respond to three summons for questioning.

The situation escalated early Friday morning with police vans converging around Yoon’s residence in central Seoul. An initial arrest team of 20 quickly grew to about 150 officers but they remained outnumbered by Yoon’s security and military personnel. Despite half the arrest team gaining entry, they were locked in a standoff and unable to proceed.

The Corruption Investigation Office (CIO) declared that the arrest was “practically impossible,” citing concerns for the team’s safety and Yoon’s refusal to comply with the legal process. Yoon’s supporters celebrated and chanted in front of the presidential residence upon hearing of the suspension.

Investigators have until January 6 to execute the arrest warrant before it expires. This raises the possibility of renewed attempts although logistics may prove challenging due to anticipated crowds. The CIO has opened a criminal case against Yoon’s security chief and deputy summoning them for questioning.

Yoon’s legal team is contesting the warrant arguing that investigators lack the authority to detain him. The political turmoil in South Korea continues marked by wide rifts in parliament and ongoing protests. Since the martial law attempt on December 3, the opposition has intensified calls for accountability leading to Yoon’s impeachment on December 14.

On Friday morning, prosecutors also indicted army chief Park An-su and special forces commander Kwak Jong-geun on insurrection charges related to the martial law declaration. Both are set to face trial while in prison.

Israeli Air Strikes Hit Strategic Targets in Yemen Amid Regional Tensions

Multiple air raids have been conducted by Israel to hit significant sites in Yemen including the capital’s airport, a military base and a power station. This is according to reports from both Israeli and Houthi sources.

Air strikes focused on the airport in Sanaa and the adjacent Al-Dailami military base as well as a power facility in Hodeidah, a key port city. The attacks have been as “Israeli aggression.”

Strikes targeted one of the control towers at Sanaa airport leading to disruptions in air traffic operations.

There has not been any immediate response from the Israeli military concerning the airstrikes. The attacks come on the heels of a provocative incident in which Yemen launched a ballistic missile and two drones toward Israel a day before the attack.

The escalation follows a recent Houthi missile attack on Saturday that struck Tel Aviv, injuring 16 individuals. This incident drew a stern response from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who indicated that he had ordered the destruction of Houthi infrastructure in retaliation.

As tensions in the region continue to simmer, the exchange of strikes and threats underscores the ongoing conflict and geopolitical complexities involving Israel, the Houthis and Yemen.

Iran Launches Missile Barrage Against Israel, Escalating Regional Tensions

Iran has launched approximately 180 missiles towards Israel in a significant attack marking the second offensive this year following a similar barrage in April. Israeli military officials reported that most missiles were intercepted, some struck Israeli territory causing damage to military bases, restaurants and schools.

The Iranian missile attack is said to be a retaliation for the killing of key Iranian figures including IRGC commander Abbas Nilforoshan and Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed that 90% of their projectiles hit their intended targets notably using hypersonic missiles for the first time.

While Israeli defenses including the Iron Dome and other advanced systems like David’s Sling and Arrow interceptors successfully thwarted most incoming missiles. The Palestinian civil defense authority reported one fatality in Jericho from falling debris.

In response to the missile strikes, U.S. President Joe Biden reaffirmed support for Israel ordering military assistance to aid in missile interceptions. The Pentagon confirmed multiple interceptions by the U.S. Navy and UK forces reportedly assisted in defense efforts as well.

As tensions escalate, Netanyahu indicated that Iran would “pay for” this attack and warned of potential retaliation. Meanwhile, Iran’s IRGC threatened a more severe response should Israel retaliate. The Israeli military has also intensified air strikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut issuing evacuation warnings to residents in affected areas.

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